The Japanese yen faces new risks. Strategists worry that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later to raise interest rates. A new risk is emerging for the Japanese yen. Foreign exchange strategists in Tokyo warn that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later next year to raise interest rates. On Wednesday, the market tasted this danger, and the yen fell to its lowest level in more than two weeks as traders responded to a Bloomberg report that the Bank of Japan is known to think that it is no harm to raise interest rates later. The yen only fell to 152.82 against the dollar, and the market is still debating whether the Bank of Japan will take action at its next meeting on December 19 or about a month later. Shusuke Yamada, head of Japan's foreign exchange and interest rate strategy at Bank of America in Tokyo, said that if policymakers put off raising interest rates for a longer time, the situation would be very different. "If the interest rate hike is postponed until March, the yen carry trade is likely to make a comeback," Yamada said on Thursday. "The yen is likely to fall again to a level just below the 157 mark hit in 155 or November."Russian Savings Bank: The contribution of artificial intelligence to Russia's GDP may reach 11.2 trillion rubles by 2030. Alexander Bedia Xin, the first vice chairman of the board of directors of Russian Savings Bank, said in his speech at the AI Journey that the application of artificial intelligence in Russia may bring 11.2 trillion rubles to GDP by 2030.Japan's Shimane nuclear power plant operating company said that there was no abnormality in the reactor water level gauge of Unit 2, which was previously misjudged. On December 12, local time, China Electric Power Company of Japan conducted an investigation on the report that the reactor water level gauge of Unit 2 of Shimane nuclear power plant was once abnormal, and the results showed that there was no abnormality. The company said that the value displayed by the instrument was normal, but the operator misunderstood the data and misjudged it as abnormal. (CCTV News)
Russian Savings Bank: The contribution of artificial intelligence to Russia's GDP may reach 11.2 trillion rubles by 2030. Alexander Bedia Xin, the first vice chairman of the board of directors of Russian Savings Bank, said in his speech at the AI Journey that the application of artificial intelligence in Russia may bring 11.2 trillion rubles to GDP by 2030.Foreign media: The Italian neo-Nazi organization planned to assassinate the Prime Minister, which was foiled by the police. According to the British "Daily Telegraph" reported on the 11th, an Italian neo-Nazi organization was accused of planning to assassinate Prime Minister Giorgiya meloni and World Economic Forum President klaus schwab, and the assassination plot was foiled by the police. The report quoted local media as saying that last week, the police carried out raids in various parts of Italy, arrested 12 people suspected of participating in the far-right organization, and seized a batch of knives, military clothing and propaganda materials. The organization originally called itself "Wolf Division" and later renamed it "New Dawn Division". The police said that some suspects arrested called meloni a "fascist who persecuted fascists" and had planned to assassinate her since 2023. (Global Times)Liu Shijin: To expand consumption, we should manage from the source, and give priority to improving basic public services and consumption of low-and middle-income groups. Liu Shijin, deputy director of the 13th Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference Economic Commission and former deputy director of the the State Council Development Research Center, pointed out in his speech at the main forum of the 2024 Southern Finance and Economics International Forum that the macro-economy is picking up, but it is also facing the increasing pressure of insufficient total demand, especially insufficient consumer demand, and the focus of which is insufficient service consumption. We should give priority to improving basic public services and the consumption environment of low-and middle-income groups through "source governance" to promote the integrated development of urban and rural areas. On the basis of short-term stimulus policies, combined with medium-and long-term reforms, we will solve the institutional problems that restrict the expansion of consumption and help China's economy achieve high-quality development. "At present, it is necessary to distinguish the problems caused by insufficient demand from the causes of insufficient demand." Liu Shijin pointed out that from the perspective of international comparison, the lack of consumption demand in China at this stage is a structural deviation. In Liu Shijin's view, it is necessary to identify the key points or pain points in expanding consumer demand at this stage. First, service consumption based on basic public services, including education, medical and health care, affordable housing, social security, culture, sports and entertainment, financial services, transportation and communication; Second, the middle and low-income class with migrant workers as the focus; Third, people-centered, urbanization and urban-rural integration. (21 Finance)
Lou Feipeng, a researcher at the Postal Savings Bank: The full implementation of the personal pension system is just the right time for financial institutions to usher in development opportunities. "The full implementation of the personal pension system is just the right time." Lou Feipeng, a researcher at China Postal Savings Bank, said that in the past two years, the personal pension system has achieved remarkable results in general, with a rapid increase in the number of accounts opened and a rapid enrichment of financial products. The data shows that at the end of June 2024, the number of individual pension accounts opened exceeded 60 million. "The implementation of the personal pension system in the pioneering urban areas has enabled the residents to have a more intuitive understanding of the personal pension system. At the same time, it has accumulated rich experience for government departments and financial departments to improve the personal pension system and optimize personal pension financial services. " Yan Feipeng said. (SSE)Interbank certificates of deposit funds are popular. In the context of the current downward trend of non-bank interbank deposit rates, interbank deposit rates are relatively more attractive, and interbank deposit funds have recently gained popularity. Since December, the 7-day holding fund of AAA index of China Securities Interbank Deposits issued by BlackRock Fund and Agricultural Bank of China Credit Suisse Fund has reached the upper limit of 5 billion yuan, and triggered proportional placement. Both funds are partially confirmed by the principle of "doomsday ratio confirmation", and the doomsday confirmation ratio is 73.36% and 27.02% respectively. In addition, Huatai Bairui Fund and China-Canada Fund also imposed subscription restrictions on their 7-day holding funds of the AAA Index of China Securities Interbank Deposits. From December 11th, the amount of multiple cumulative subscriptions (including conversion and fixed investment) for a single fund account of Huatai Bairui CSI Interbank Deposit Certificate AAA Index 7-day holding fund shall not exceed 100,000 yuan; From December 6th, the subscription amount of a single investor of the 7-day holding fund of China-Canada CSI Interbank Deposit Certificate AAA Index will not exceed 10 million yuan (except for individual investors and public asset management products). (CSI Taurus)Rapdidus will start producing 2-nanometer chips in April next year. Dong Zhelang, president of Rapdidus, an advanced Japanese semiconductor foundry company, said that by the end of March 2025, Rapdidus will complete all the equipment setup required for trial production of 2-nanometer chips, and start the trial production line in April to actually produce 2-nanometer chips.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13